WON
Result: Chengdu Rongcheng 2-1 Yunnan Yukun
DirectWinPredict China Super League Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
C

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home Side
W W W D W
5W 2D 3L
VS
2-1
China Super League
Y
Yunnan Yukun
Away Side
L W L W L
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Chengdu Rongcheng to win — Tuesday, 21st April 2026
Best Odds 1.45
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 69%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
69%
Based on 1.45 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-19%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
Draws
0
Yunnan Yukun
2
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Chengdu Rongcheng
Metric
Yunnan Yukun
2
Goals For / Game
2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
50%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
C0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
C1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.7%
C2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.6%
C3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
C4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
C5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.2%) 3-1 (5.4%) 1-0 (4.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   Y=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Chengdu Rongcheng Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Yunnan Yukun Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.0
Yunnan Yukun
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
23.08.25
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun1
Chengdu Rongcheng5
16.04.25
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng1
Yunnan Yukun1
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
17.04.26
 (Super League) Wuhan Three Towns0
Chengdu Rongcheng - W1
12.04.26
 (Super League) Beijing Guoan1
Chengdu Rongcheng - W2
03.04.26
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng5
Qingdao West Coast - W1
21.03.26
 (Super League) Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Chengdu Rongcheng - D3
15.03.26
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu - W0
06.03.26
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - W1
17.02.26
 (Champions League Asia) Machida3
Chengdu Rongcheng - L2
10.02.26
 (Champions League Asia) Chengdu Rongcheng0
Buriram - L1
26.01.26
 (Friendly) Dynamo Moscow1
Chengdu Rongcheng - D1
20.01.26
 (Friendly) Lokomotiv Moscow4
Chengdu Rongcheng - L0
Yunnan Yukun
17.04.26
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - L3
12.04.26
 (Super League) Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Yunnan Yukun - W4
04.04.26
 (Super League) Shanghai Port2
Yunnan Yukun - L1
21.03.26
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun4
Shandong Taishan - W0
15.03.26
 (Super League) Henan Songshan Longmen2
Yunnan Yukun - L1
07.03.26
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun3
Qingdao Hainiu - W1
09.02.26
 (Friendly) Ural2
Yunnan Yukun - L0
07.02.26
 (Friendly) Noah5
Yunnan Yukun - D5
22.11.25
 (Super League) Henan Songshan Longmen1
Yunnan Yukun - D1
02.11.25
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun1
Qingdao West Coast - W0
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Chengdu Rongcheng host Yunnan Yukun in China Super League. We recommend Chengdu Rongcheng to win as the standout selection.

Chengdu Rongcheng arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Yunnan Yukun are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chengdu Rongcheng, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Yunnan Yukun's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chengdu rongcheng to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this China Super League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.45 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our selection is 1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Chengdu Rongcheng's current form?
Chengdu Rongcheng have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Yunnan Yukun been performing recently?
Yunnan Yukun have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chengdu Rongcheng lead with 1 wins versus Yunnan Yukun's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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