WON
Result: Noah 2-0 Van
DirectWinPredict Armenia Premier League Noah vs Van
N

Noah

Home Side
W W W D W
8W 1D 1L
VS
2-0
Armenia Premier League
V
Van
Away Side
L W D L L
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Noah to win — Monday, 20th April 2026
Best Odds 1.12
Confidence 66%
Implied Prob 89.3%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Noah to win
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% Noah Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
89.3%
Based on 1.12 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-23.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Noah
3
Draws
1
Van
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Noah won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Noah
Metric
Van
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheet %
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
80%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
N0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.8%) 2-1 (9.5%) 2-0 (8.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   V=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Noah Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Van Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Noah
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
Van
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.12.25Premier League
Van0
Noah0
24.09.25Premier League
Noah2
Van1
04.05.25Premier League
Van2
Noah2
30.04.25Armenian Cup
Van1
Noah0
16.04.25Armenian Cup
Noah2
Van0
20.10.24Premier League
Noah5
Van0
19.09.24Premier League
Van1
Noah1
11.04.24Premier League
Van0
Noah1
04.12.23Premier League
Noah3
Van1
30.09.23Premier League
Van0
Noah2
Recent Form
Noah
16.04.26Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia0
FC Noah1
W
10.04.26Premier League
Gandzasar0
FC Noah3
W
05.04.26Premier League
FC Noah2
BKMA0
W
01.04.26Armenian Cup
FC Noah2
Pyunik Yerevan2
D
22.03.26Premier League
FC Noah3
Shirak Gyumri0
W
16.03.26Premier League
Shirak Gyumri0
FC Noah2
W
12.03.26Armenian Super Cup
FC Noah2
Ararat-Armenia1
W
08.03.26Premier League
BKMA0
FC Noah2
W
05.03.26Armenian Cup
Pyunik Yerevan1
FC Noah2
W
26.02.26Conference League
AZ Alkmaar4
FC Noah0
L
Van
10.04.26Premier League
FC Van1
Urartu2
L
04.04.26Premier League
Ararat Yerevan1
FC Van2
W
20.03.26Premier League
FC Van2
Ararat-Armenia2
D
16.03.26Premier League
Ararat-Armenia3
FC Van0
L
07.03.26Premier League
FC Van1
Ararat Yerevan2
L
21.02.26Club Friendly
FC Van1
Ararat Yerevan0
W
14.02.26Club Friendly
FC Van0
FC Gandzasar0
D
07.02.26Club Friendly
BKMA1
FC Van0
L
04.02.26Club Friendly
FC Van5
Hayq0
W
31.01.26Club Friendly
BKMA2
FC Van2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 20th April 2026, Noah host Van in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Noah to win as the standout selection.

Noah arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Van are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Noah, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Van's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: noah to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.12 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Noah vs Van?
Our selection is 1 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Noah's current form?
Noah have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Van been performing recently?
Van have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Noah lead with 6 wins versus Van's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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