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Result: Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 Transinvest
DirectWinPredict Lithuania TopLyga Kauno Zalgiris vs Transinvest
K

Kauno Zalgiris

Home Side
W W D W W
9W 1D 0L
VS
1-2
Lithuania TopLyga
T
Transinvest
Away Side
L L D W W
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Kauno Zalgiris to win — Saturday, 18th April 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-8.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Draws
1
Transinvest
4
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
75%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Kauno Zalgiris won 3 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kauno Zalgiris
Metric
Transinvest
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheet %
40%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
90%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
K0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.5%) 2-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Kauno Zalgiris Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Transinvest Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
8.7
Transinvest
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
31.08.24A Lyga
Transinvest0
Kauno Zalgiris3
26.06.24A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris2
Transinvest0
02.05.24A Lyga
Transinvest3
Kauno Zalgiris2
12.03.24A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris2
Transinvest1
Recent Form
Kauno Zalgiris
11.04.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris5
Hegelmann0
W
05.04.26A Lyga
FK Zalgiris0
Kauno Zalgiris3
W
21.03.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris1
FK Suduva1
D
15.03.26A Lyga
FA Siauliai0
Kauno Zalgiris5
W
10.03.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris4
FK Panevezys0
W
07.03.26A Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai1
Kauno Zalgiris2
W
28.02.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris1
Banga0
W
23.02.26A Lyga
Riteriai1
Kauno Zalgiris2
W
16.02.26Supercup
Kauno Zalgiris1
FK Panevezys0
W
06.02.26Club Friendly
Kauno Zalgiris2
Zimbru Chisinau1
W
Transinvest
12.04.26A Lyga
Transinvest1
FK Panevezys2
L
04.04.26A Lyga
Hegelmann3
Transinvest1
L
22.03.26A Lyga
Transinvest0
Dziugas Telsiai0
D
16.03.26A Lyga
Zalgiris Vilnius1
Transinvest2
W
11.03.26A Lyga
Transinvest1
Banga0
W
07.03.26A Lyga
Suduva2
Transinvest0
L
01.03.26A Lyga
Transinvest3
Riteriai0
W
22.02.26A Lyga
Transinvest2
Siauliai FA2
D
15.02.26Club Friendly
Transinvest4
BE1 NFA0
W
11.02.26Club Friendly
FK Panevezys4
Transinvest1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host Transinvest in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout selection.

Kauno Zalgiris arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Transinvest are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kauno Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Transinvest's 1, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kauno zalgiris to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Lithuania TopLyga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Transinvest?
Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form?
Kauno Zalgiris have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Transinvest been performing recently?
Transinvest have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kauno Zalgiris lead with 3 wins versus Transinvest's 1, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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