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Result: Ogre United 1-1 Auda
DirectWinPredict Latvia Virsliga Ogre United vs Auda
O

Ogre United

Home Side
D L L L D
2W 2D 6L
VS
1-1
Latvia Virsliga
A
Auda
Away Side
L W W L W
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Auda to win — Friday, 17th April 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Ogre United
Metric
Auda
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
2-2-6
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
20%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
O0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 10.8%
0-2 6.7%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.2%
O1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
O2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
O3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (10.8%) 1-2 (8.1%) 0-2 (6.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · O=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Ogre United Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Auda Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Ogre United
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.0
Auda
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Ogre United
13.04.26Virsliga
Ogre United1
Grobina1
D
07.04.26Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils2
Ogre United1
L
03.04.26Virsliga
Ogre United1
Super Nova2
L
20.03.26Virsliga
Ogre United0
FK Liepaja1
L
15.03.26Virsliga
Ogre United1
Tukums 20001
D
06.03.26Virsliga
RFS2
Ogre United0
L
14.02.26Club Friendly
Zalgiris2
Ogre United1
L
07.02.26Club Friendly
Flora1
Ogre United0
L
08.11.25Nakotne Liga
Marupe0
Ogre United1
W
01.11.25Nakotne Liga
Ogre United3
Skanste0
W
Auda
12.04.26Virsliga
FK Auda2
BFC Daugavpils3
L
08.04.26Virsliga
FK Liepaja1
FK Auda2
W
04.04.26Virsliga
RFS0
FK Auda1
W
20.03.26Virsliga
FK Auda1
Riga FC2
L
14.03.26Virsliga
Grobina0
FK Auda2
W
08.03.26Virsliga
FK Auda2
Super Nova1
W
17.02.26Stella Cup
Riga FC4
FK Auda1
L
13.02.26Club Friendly
Zorya Luhansk3
FK Auda0
L
10.02.26Club Friendly
FK Auda1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
W
06.02.26Club Friendly
Vozdovac1
FK Auda1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Latvia Virsliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ogre United vs Auda?
Our selection is 2 — Auda to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Ogre United's current form?
Ogre United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Auda been performing recently?
Auda have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game.
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