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Result: Fenerbahce 2-2 Rizespor

Fenerbahce

Home Side

W W W L W

6W 2D 2L

2-2

Turkey Super Lig

Rizespor

Away Side

W W L L W

5W 1D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Fenerbahce to win — Friday, 17th April 2026

Best Odds 1.36

Confidence 66%

Implied Prob 73.5%

50%

20%

30%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Fenerbahce to win

1.36

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

73.5%

Based on 1.36 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-7.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Fenerbahce

Draws

Rizespor

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

90%

Over 2.5

4.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Fenerbahce won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Fenerbahce

Metric

Rizespor

2.1

Goals For / Game

1.6

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.4

30%

Clean Sheet %

30%

6-2-2

W — D — L

5-1-4

Win Rate Comparison

60%

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.3%

0-1 6.0%

0-2 4.2%

0-3 2.0%

0-4 0.7%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 7.5%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 7.4%

1-3 3.4%

1-4 1.2%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 6.6%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 6.4%

2-3 3.0%

2-4 1.1%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 3.8%

3-1 5.4%

3-2 3.8%

3-3 1.8%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 1.7%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 1.6%

4-3 0.8%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.2%) 1-0 (7.5%) 2-0 (6.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Fenerbahce Win

50%

Draw

20%

Rizespor Win

30%

3.33

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Fenerbahce

Overall

6.6 ▼

Scoring

7.0 ▼

Defence

6.0 ▼

Rizespor

Overall

5.3 ▼

Scoring

5.3 ▼

Defence

5.3 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Home Win & BTTS No 24%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Away Win & BTTS No 20%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 34%

Home Win & Under 2.5 14%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 28%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

23.11.25Süper Lig

Rizespor2

Fenerbahce5

02.02.25Süper Lig

Fenerbahce3

Rizespor2

25.08.24Süper Lig

Rizespor0

Fenerbahce5

17.02.24Süper Lig

Rizespor1

Fenerbahce3

01.10.23Süper Lig

Fenerbahce5

Rizespor0

19.01.23Cup

Fenerbahce2

Rizespor1

22.04.22Süper Lig

Rizespor0

Fenerbahce6

05.12.21Süper Lig

Fenerbahce4

Rizespor0

30.01.21Süper Lig

Fenerbahce1

Rizespor0

11.09.20Süper Lig

Rizespor1

Fenerbahce2

Recent Form

Fenerbahce

11.04.26Süper Lig

Kayserispor0

Fenerbahce4

05.04.26Süper Lig

Fenerbahce1

Besiktas0

17.03.26Süper Lig

Fenerbahce4

Gaziantep1

13.03.26Süper Lig

Karagumruk2

Fenerbahce0

08.03.26Süper Lig

Fenerbahce3

Samsunspor2

04.03.26Cup

Gaziantep0

Fenerbahce4

01.03.26Süper Lig

Antalyaspor2

Fenerbahce2

26.02.26Europa League

Nottingham1

Fenerbahce2

23.02.26Süper Lig

Fenerbahce1

Kasimpasa1

19.02.26Europa League

Fenerbahce0

Nottingham3

Rizespor

13.04.26Süper Lig

Rizespor2

Gaziantep1

09.04.26Süper Lig

Rizespor4

Samsunspor1

05.04.26Süper Lig

Karagumruk2

Rizespor1

14.03.26Süper Lig

Trabzonspor1

Rizespor0

08.03.26Süper Lig

Rizespor1

Antalyaspor0

04.03.26Cup

Besiktas4

Rizespor1

28.02.26Süper Lig

Kasimpasa0

Rizespor3

20.02.26Süper Lig

Rizespor2

Kocaelispor0

14.02.26Süper Lig

Genclerbirligi2

Rizespor2

08.02.26Süper Lig

Rizespor0

Galatasaray3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Turkey Super Lig game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.36 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Fenerbahce vs Rizespor?

Our selection is 1 — Fenerbahce to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 66%.

What is Fenerbahce's current form?

Fenerbahce have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Rizespor been performing recently?

Rizespor have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Fenerbahce lead with 10 wins versus Rizespor's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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