LOST
Result: Cruzeiro 1-2 U Catolica
DirectWinPredict Copa Libertadores Cruzeiro vs U Catolica
C

Cruzeiro

Home Side
W W L W D
5W 2D 3L
VS
1-2
Copa Libertadores
U
U Catolica
Away Side
W L W W L
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Cruzeiro to win — Wednesday, 15th April 2026
Best Odds 1.53
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 65.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cruzeiro to win
1.53
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No80%
Implied Prob
65.4%
Based on 1.53 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-15.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Cruzeiro
Metric
U Catolica
1.3
Goals For / Game
0
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0
50%
Clean Sheet %
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
50%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
C0
0-0 28.7%
0-1 17.2%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 18.6%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 3.6%
2-2 1.1%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.2%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (18.6%) 2-0 (6.1%) 2-1 (3.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   U=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Cruzeiro Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
U Catolica Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Cruzeiro
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.0
U Catolica
Overall
6.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 38%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 36%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Cruzeiro
12.04.26
Serie A: Cruzeiro2
Bragantino1
W
08.04.26
Sudamericana: Barcelona SC0
Cruzeiro1
W
04.04.26
Serie A: Sao Paulo4
Cruzeiro1
L
02.04.26
Serie A: Cruzeiro3
Vitoria0
W
22.03.26
Serie A: Cruzeiro0
Santos0
D
18.03.26
Serie A: Athletico-PR2
Cruzeiro1
L
16.03.26
Serie A: Cruzeiro3
Vasco da Gama3
D
12.03.26
Serie A: Flamengo2
Cruzeiro0
L
08.03.26
Mineiro: Cruzeiro1
Atletico-MG0
W
28.02.26
Mineiro: Cruzeiro1
Pouso Alegre0
W
U Catolica
11.04.26
Primera División: Audax Italiano3
U. Católica4
W
08.04.26
Copa Libertadores: U. Católica1
Boca Juniors2
L
02.04.26
Primera División: U. Católica6
Palestino1
W
30.03.26
Copa Chile: Cobresal1
U. Católica3
W
25.03.26
Copa Chile: Ñublense1
U. Católica0
L
22.03.26
Copa Chile: U. Católica2
U. de Concepción1
W
15.03.26
Primera División: U. Católica2
Everton2
D
08.03.26
Primera División: O’Higgins1
U. Católica0
L
02.03.26
Primera División: Ñublense1
U. Católica2
W
22.02.26
Primera División: U. Católica3
Coquimbo Unido1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Copa Libertadores game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.53 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cruzeiro vs U Catolica?
Our selection is 1 — Cruzeiro to win, priced at approximately 1.53. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Cruzeiro's current form?
Cruzeiro have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has U Catolica been performing recently?
U Catolica have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.