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Result: AC Oulu 1-2 Jaro

AC Oulu

Home Side

W W W L W

8W 1D 1L

1-2

Finland Suomen Cup

Jaro

Away Side

D L L L D

2W 2D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing AC Oulu to win — Wednesday, 15th April 2026

Best Odds 1.43

Confidence 64%

Implied Prob 69.9%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — AC Oulu to win

1.43

Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

69.9%

Based on 1.43 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-5.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

AC Oulu

Draws

Jaro

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

3.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick AC Oulu won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

AC Oulu

Metric

Jaro

3.2

Goals For / Game

1.4

1.1

Goals Against / Game

2.2

30%

Clean Sheet %

20%

8-1-1

W — D — L

2-2-6

Win Rate Comparison

80%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 1.9%

0-1 2.4%

0-2 1.5%

0-3 0.6%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 5.2%

1-1 6.5%

1-2 4.1%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 7.0%

2-1 8.8%

2-2 5.5%

2-3 2.3%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 6.3%

3-1 7.9%

3-2 4.9%

3-3 2.1%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 4.3%

4-1 5.3%

4-2 3.3%

4-3 1.4%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 2.3%

5-1 2.9%

5-2 1.8%

5-3 0.8%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.8%) 3-1 (7.9%) 2-0 (7.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ J=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

AC Oulu Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Jaro Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

AC Oulu

Overall

8.3 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.3 —

Jaro

Overall

2.6 ▲

Scoring

4.7 ▲

Defence

2.7 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 49%

Home Win & BTTS No 21%

Draw & BTTS Yes 9%

Draw & BTTS No 4%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 5%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 53%

Home Win & Under 2.5 18%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 13%

Away Win & Under 2.5 4%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

28.03.26Club Friendly

Jaro2

AC Oulu3

07.02.26League Cup

Jaro2

AC Oulu6

14.09.25Veikkausliiga

Jaro1

AC Oulu2

02.08.25Veikkausliiga

AC Oulu0

Jaro1

18.06.25Veikkausliiga

Jaro2

AC Oulu1

15.02.25League Cup

AC Oulu4

Jaro0

11.01.25Club Friendly

AC Oulu3

Jaro1

22.01.22Club Friendly

AC Oulu3

Jaro0

25.09.20Ykkönen

Jaro2

AC Oulu0

01.08.20Ykkönen

AC Oulu2

Jaro1

Recent Form

AC Oulu

11.04.26Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki0

AC Oulu1

04.04.26Veikkausliiga

IF Gnistan1

AC Oulu5

28.03.26Club Friendly

FF Jaro2

AC Oulu3

21.03.26League Cup

FC Inter Turku2

AC Oulu1

14.03.26League Cup

AC Oulu2

HJK Helsinki1

28.02.26League Cup

AC Oulu5

Kuopion Palloseura0

21.02.26League Cup

Ilves2

AC Oulu2

07.02.26League Cup

FF Jaro2

AC Oulu6

31.01.26League Cup

AC Oulu3

Seinäjoen Jalkapallokerho0

24.01.26League Cup

Vaasan Palloseura1

AC Oulu4

Jaro

10.04.26Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura0

FF Jaro0

04.04.26Veikkausliiga

FF Jaro0

FC Lahti1

28.03.26Club Friendly

FF Jaro2

AC Oulu3

18.03.26Club Friendly

Seinäjoen Jalkapallokerho2

FF Jaro1

12.03.26Club Friendly

FF Jaro1

FC Haka1

28.02.26Club Friendly

FC Inter Turku2

FF Jaro1

22.02.26League Cup

Kuopion Palloseura3

FF Jaro4

14.02.26League Cup

FF Jaro1

Vaasan Palloseura0

07.02.26League Cup

FF Jaro2

AC Oulu6

31.01.26League Cup

Ilves4

FF Jaro2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 15th April 2026, AC Oulu host Jaro in Finland Suomen Cup. We recommend AC Oulu to win as the standout selection.

AC Oulu arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Jaro are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AC Oulu, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Jaro's 3, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ac oulu to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Finland Suomen Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.43 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for AC Oulu vs Jaro?

Our selection is 1 — AC Oulu to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 64%.

What is AC Oulu's current form?

AC Oulu have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Jaro been performing recently?

Jaro have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

AC Oulu lead with 7 wins versus Jaro's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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