WON

Result: Legia II 3-0 Plock II

Legia II

Home Side

W D W W W

8W 1D 1L

3-0

Poland III Liga

Plock II

Away Side

W L W D W

6W 3D 1L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Legia II to win — Wednesday, 15th April 2026

Best Odds 1.34

Confidence 68%

Implied Prob 74.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Legia II to win

1.34

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

74.6%

Based on 1.34 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-6.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Legia II

Draws

Plock II

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

75%

Over 2.5

3.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Legia II won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Legia II

Metric

Plock II

1.9

Goals For / Game

1.7

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.5

30%

Clean Sheet %

20%

8-1-1

W — D — L

6-3-1

Win Rate Comparison

80%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.0%

0-1 6.5%

0-2 4.2%

0-3 1.8%

0-4 0.6%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 8.5%

1-1 11.0%

1-2 7.2%

1-3 3.1%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.2%

2-1 9.4%

2-2 6.1%

2-3 2.6%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.1%

3-1 5.3%

3-2 3.4%

3-3 1.5%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.7%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.4%) 1-0 (8.5%) 2-0 (7.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓ P=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Legia II Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Plock II Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Legia II

Overall

8.3 —

Scoring

6.3 —

Defence

7.0 —

Plock II

Overall

6.9 —

Scoring

5.7 —

Defence

5.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%

Home Win & BTTS No 15%

Draw & BTTS Yes 9%

Draw & BTTS No 4%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%

Away Win & BTTS No 11%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 35%

Home Win & Under 2.5 15%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 26%

Away Win & Under 2.5 11%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

17.09.25III Liga

Plock II1

Legia II2

11.05.25III Liga

Plock II0

Legia II3

30.10.24III Liga

Legia II3

Plock II2

27.01.22Club Friendly

Legia II2

Plock II0

Recent Form

Legia II

12.04.26III Liga

Olimpia Elblag1

Legia II2

04.04.26III Liga

Legia II1

Warta Sieradz1

22.03.26III Liga

Jagiellonia II0

Legia II1

14.03.26III Liga

Legia II4

Wasilkow1

07.03.26III Liga

Legia II2

GKS Belchatow0

01.03.26III Liga

Swit Mazowiecki0

Legia II1

21.02.26Club Friendly

Legia II3

Skra1

14.02.26Club Friendly

Legia II2

Zawisza1

07.02.26Club Friendly

Warta Poznan3

Legia II1

24.01.26Club Friendly

Legia II2

Cracovia II1

Plock II

11.04.26III Liga

Zabki0

Plock II1

03.04.26III Liga

Plock II0

Jagiellonia II4

25.03.26III Liga

Biala Piska1

Plock II2

21.03.26III Liga

Plock II2

Suwalki2

14.03.26III Liga

LKS Lomza1

Plock II2

07.03.26III Liga

Plock II2

Mlawa1

28.02.26III Liga

Plock II0

Bron Radom0

31.01.26Club Friendly

Elana Torun2

Plock II2

22.11.25III Liga

Plock II2

Troszyn1

15.11.25III Liga

GKS Belchatow3

Plock II4

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Poland III Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Legia II vs Plock II?

Our selection is 1 — Legia II to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Legia II's current form?

Legia II have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Plock II been performing recently?

Plock II have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Legia II lead with 4 wins versus Plock II's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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