WON
Result: Germany W 5-1 Austria W
DirectWinPredict Euro Women WCQ Germany W vs Austria W
G

Germany W

Home Side
W W L D D
5W 2D 3L
VS
5-1
Euro Women WCQ
A
Austria W
Away Side
L L L W D
2W 1D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Tuesday, 14th April 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 82%
Implied Prob 75.8%
Head to Head Record
6
Germany W
0
Draws
0
Austria W
6
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
83%
Over 2.5
4.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 83% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Germany W
Metric
Austria W
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.9
40%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate Comparison
50%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
G0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
G1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.0%) 1-1 (11.0%) 2-0 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Germany W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.0
Austria W
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
03.06.25
Nations League: Austria W0
Germany6
25.02.25
Nations League: Germany W4
Austria1
16.07.24
Euro Qualifiers: Germany W4
Austria0
05.04.24
Euro Qualifiers: Austria W2
Germany3
21.07.22
Women’s Euro: Germany W2
Austria0
22.10.16
Friendlies: Germany W4
Austria2
Recent Form
Germany W
07.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Norway W0
Germany W4
W
03.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Germany W5
Slovenia W0
W
02.12.25
Nations League: Spain W3
Germany W0
L
28.11.25
Nations League: Germany W0
Spain W0
D
28.10.25
Nations League: France W2
Germany W2
D
24.10.25
Nations League: Germany W1
France W0
W
23.07.25
Women’s Euro: Germany W0
Spain W1
L
19.07.25
Women’s Euro: France W1
Germany W2
W
12.07.25
Women’s Euro: Sweden W4
Germany W1
L
08.07.25
Women’s Euro: Germany W2
Denmark W1
W
Austria W
07.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Slovenia W1
Austria W0
L
03.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Austria W0
Norway W1
L
01.12.25
Friendlies: Ukraine W3
Austria W2
L
27.11.25
Friendlies: Finland W1
Austria W1
D
28.10.25
Nations League: Austria W2
Czechia W0
W
24.10.25
Nations League: Czechia W1
Austria W0
L
03.06.25
Nations League: Austria W0
Germany W6
L
30.05.25
Nations League: Scotland W0
Austria W1
W
08.04.25
Nations League: Austria W1
Netherlands W3
L
04.04.25
Nations League: Netherlands W3
Austria W1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 14th April 2026, Germany W host Austria W in Euro Women WCQ. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Germany W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Austria W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Germany W, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Austria W's 0, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro Women WCQ game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Germany W vs Austria W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Germany W's current form?
Germany W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Austria W been performing recently?
Austria W have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Germany W lead with 6 wins versus Austria W's 0, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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