WON

Result: Tukums 2000 1-2 RFS

Tukums 2000

Q: What is the recommended bet for Tukums 2000 vs RFS?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 75%.

Home Side

D D L D L

0W 5D 3L

1-2

Latvia Virsliga

RFS

Away Side

W L W W W

7W 1D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Over 2.5

Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 13th April 2026

Best Odds 1.40

Confidence 75%

Implied Prob 71.4%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals

1.40

RFS Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

71.4%

Based on 1.40 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+3.6%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

12.5%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Tukums 2000

Draws

RFS

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

5.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Tukums 2000

Metric

RFS

1.5

Goals For / Game

1.6

1.9

Goals Against / Game

0.6

Clean Sheet %

60%

0-5-3

W — D — L

7-1-2

Win Rate Comparison

70%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.1%

0-1 10.6%

0-2 9.3%

0-3 5.4%

0-4 2.4%

0-5 0.8%

1-0 6.4%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 9.8%

1-3 5.7%

1-4 2.5%

1-5 0.9%

2-0 3.4%

2-1 5.9%

2-2 5.1%

2-3 3.0%

2-4 1.3%

2-5 0.5%

3-0 1.2%

3-1 2.1%

3-2 1.8%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 0.3%

4-1 0.5%

4-2 0.5%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.1%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.2%) 0-1 (10.6%) 1-2 (9.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Tukums 2000

Overall

1.9 —

Scoring

5.0 —

Defence

3.8 —

RFS

Overall

7.3 ▼

Scoring

5.3 ▼

Defence

8.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Home Win & BTTS No 0%

Draw & BTTS Yes 18%

Draw & BTTS No 14%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 38%

Away Win & BTTS No 30%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 0%

Home Win & Under 2.5 0%

Draw & Over 2.5 16%

Draw & Under 2.5 16%

Away Win & Over 2.5 34%

Away Win & Under 2.5 34%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

19.10.25

Virsliga: Tukums 20002

RFS4

26.07.25

Virsliga: RFS6

Tukums 20002

25.05.25

Virsliga: Tukums 20002

RFS5

09.04.25

Virsliga: RFS2

Tukums 20000

20.10.24

Virsliga: RFS4

Tukums 20001

27.07.24

Virsliga: Tukums 20001

RFS4

25.05.24

Virsliga: Tukums 20000

RFS1

12.04.24

Virsliga: RFS5

Tukums 20000

21.10.23

Virsliga: Tukums 20004

RFS5

20.09.23

Latvian Cup: Tukums 20001

RFS3

Recent Form

Tukums 2000

09.04.26

Virsliga: Riga FC3

Tukums 20003

05.04.26

Virsliga: Tukums 20001

Grobina1

22.03.26

Virsliga: Tukums 20001

Super Nova2

15.03.26

Virsliga: Ogre United1

Tukums 20001

08.03.26

Virsliga: Jelgava2

Tukums 20001

11.02.26

Friendlies: Kalju2

Tukums 20002

07.02.26

Friendlies: Tukums 20002

Dziugas Telsiai2

31.01.26

Friendlies: FK Panevezys2

Tukums 20001

RFS

08.04.26

Virsliga: Jelgava0

RFS1

04.04.26

Virsliga: RFS0

Auda1

21.03.26

Virsliga: RFS4

BFC Daugavpils1

13.03.26

Virsliga: FK Liepāja0

RFS1

06.03.26

Virsliga: RFS2

Ogre United0

28.02.26

Friendlies: RFS1

BFC Daugavpils0

20.02.26

Friendlies: RFS4

Táborsko0

19.02.26

Friendlies: Hvidovre IF2

RFS2

14.02.26

Friendlies: Dyn. Kyiv2

RFS0

11.02.26

Friendlies: Kolding IF0

RFS1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Latvia Virsliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.40 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Tukums 2000 vs RFS?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 75%.

What is Tukums 2000's current form?

Tukums 2000 have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches.

How has RFS been performing recently?

RFS have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Tukums 2000 lead with 0 wins versus RFS's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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