WON
Result: Kastrioti 1-2 Laci
DirectWinPredict Albania Kategoria E Pare Kastrioti vs Laci
K

Kastrioti

Home Side
L L W L L
3W 0D 7L
VS
1-2
Albania Kategoria E Pare
L
Laci
Away Side
W D W W W
9W 1D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Laci to win — Saturday, 11th April 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 49%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Laci to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-26.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Kastrioti
9
Draws
0
Laci
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Against Pick Laci won 0 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kastrioti
Metric
Laci
1.3
Goals For / Game
0
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0
10%
Clean Sheet %
0%
3-0-7
W — D — L
9-1-0
Win Rate Comparison
30%
90%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
K0
0-0 20.2%
0-1 19.2%
0-2 9.1%
0-3 2.9%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 4.3%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 1.9%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 0.9%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (19.2%) 0-2 (9.1%) 1-2 (5.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Kastrioti Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Laci Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kastrioti
Overall
3.0
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.7
Laci
Overall
9.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 50%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 50%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.11.25
Kategoria e Parë: KS Kastrioti2
KF Laçi2
30.08.25
Kategoria e Parë: KF Laçi3
KS Kastrioti1
29.05.23
Kategoria Superiore: KF Laçi3
KS Kastrioti0
02.04.23
Kategoria Superiore: KS Kastrioti2
KF Laçi1
25.01.23
Kategoria Superiore: KF Laçi4
KS Kastrioti1
22.10.22
Kategoria Superiore: KS Kastrioti0
KF Laçi1
08.05.22
Kategoria Superiore: KF Laçi4
KS Kastrioti1
07.03.22
Kategoria Superiore: KS Kastrioti1
KF Laçi1
22.12.21
Kategoria Superiore: KF Laçi2
KS Kastrioti0
23.10.21
Kategoria Superiore: KS Kastrioti0
KF Laçi1
Recent Form
Kastrioti
04.04.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Pogradeci5
KS Kastrioti1
L
22.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Kastrioti0
FK Kukësi2
L
18.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Kastrioti5
KS Burreli2
W
14.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Iliria1
KS Kastrioti0
L
07.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Kastrioti2
KS Besa3
L
28.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Korabi1
KS Kastrioti0
L
22.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Kastrioti1
KF Apolonia Fier0
W
14.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: AF Luftëtari2
KS Kastrioti1
L
07.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Kastrioti2
FK Kukësi1
W
30.01.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Skënderbeu2
KS Kastrioti1
L
Laci
04.04.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Laçi3
KS Burreli1
W
22.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Iliria1
KF Laçi1
D
18.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Laçi5
KS Besa3
W
14.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Korabi0
KF Laçi1
W
07.03.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Laçi2
KF Apolonia Fier1
W
28.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Lushnja1
KF Laçi5
W
21.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Laçi2
AF Luftëtari1
W
14.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Laçi2
KS Besa1
W
07.02.26
Kategoria e Parë: KS Lushnja0
KF Laçi1
W
31.01.26
Kategoria e Parë: KF Laçi1
AF Luftëtari0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 11th April 2026, Kastrioti host Laci in Albania Kategoria E Pare. We recommend Laci to win as the standout selection.

Kastrioti arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Laci are travelling well, with a record of 9W 1D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kastrioti, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Laci's 0, with 9 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: laci to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Albania Kategoria E Pare game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kastrioti vs Laci?
Our selection is 2 — Laci to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Kastrioti's current form?
Kastrioti have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Laci been performing recently?
Laci have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kastrioti lead with 1 wins versus Laci's 0, with 9 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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