WON
Result: Twente 2-1 Volendam
DirectWinPredict Eredivisie Twente vs Volendam
T

Twente

Home Side
W W L W W
6W 2D 2L
VS
2-1
Eredivisie
V
Volendam
Away Side
D D L L L
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Twente to win — Friday, 10th April 2026
Best Odds 1.16
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 86.2%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Twente to win
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
86.2%
Based on 1.16 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-23.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Twente
1
Draws
2
Volendam
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Twente won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Twente
Metric
Volendam
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
T0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
T1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
T2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
T3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
T4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.4%) 2-1 (9.8%) 2-0 (9.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   V=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Twente Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Volendam Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Twente
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
Volendam
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.11.25
Eredivisie: FC Volendam1
FC Twente1
12.05.24
Eredivisie: FC Twente7
FC Volendam2
03.09.23
Eredivisie: FC Volendam0
FC Twente2
12.02.23
Eredivisie: FC Twente3
FC Volendam0
28.08.22
Eredivisie: FC Volendam1
FC Twente0
15.03.19
Eerste Divisie: FC Twente5
FC Volendam0
07.12.18
Eerste Divisie: FC Volendam1
FC Twente2
14.02.09
Eredivisie: FC Twente2
FC Volendam1
21.09.08
Eredivisie: FC Volendam1
FC Twente2
03.04.04
Eredivisie: FC Twente1
FC Volendam2
Recent Form
Twente
04.04.26
Eredivisie: AFC Ajax1
FC Twente2
W
21.03.26
Eredivisie: Fortuna Sittard1
FC Twente2
W
15.03.26
Eredivisie: FC Twente0
FC Utrecht2
L
08.03.26
Eredivisie: Go Ahead Eagles1
FC Twente4
W
01.03.26
Eredivisie: FC Twente2
Feyenoord0
W
22.02.26
Eredivisie: FC Twente2
FC Groningen1
W
15.02.26
Eredivisie: SC Telstar1
FC Twente1
D
07.02.26
Eredivisie: FC Twente5
SC Heerenveen0
W
03.02.26
KNVB Cup (QF): AZ Alkmaar2
FC Twente1
L
30.01.26
Eredivisie: NAC Breda2
FC Twente2
D
Volendam
05.04.26
Eredivisie: FC Volendam0
Feyenoord0
D
25.03.26
Friendly: AFC Ajax2
FC Volendam2
D
21.03.26
Eredivisie: Sparta Rotterdam2
FC Volendam0
L
14.03.26
Eredivisie: FC Volendam1
Fortuna Sittard2
L
08.03.26
Eredivisie: NEC Nijmegen3
FC Volendam0
L
01.03.26
Eredivisie: FC Volendam3
FC Groningen2
W
21.02.26
Eredivisie: NAC Breda1
FC Volendam0
L
13.02.26
Eredivisie: FC Volendam2
PSV Eindhoven1
W
07.02.26
Eredivisie: PEC Zwolle1
FC Volendam2
W
04.02.26
KNVB Cup (QF): NEC Nijmegen1
FC Volendam0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Eredivisie game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.16 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Twente vs Volendam?
Our selection is 1 — Twente to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Twente's current form?
Twente have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Volendam been performing recently?
Volendam have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Twente lead with 7 wins versus Volendam's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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