WON

Result: Montana 0-1 CSKA Sofia

Montana

Home Side

0W 1D 9L

0-1

Bulgaria EFBET League

CSKA Sofia

Away Side

W W L W W

5W 0D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing CSKA Sofia to win — Wednesday, 8th April 2026

Best Odds 1.31

Confidence 62%

Implied Prob 76.3%

20%

60%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — CSKA Sofia to win

1.31

Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No90%

Implied Prob

76.3%

Based on 1.31 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-14.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Montana

Draws

CSKA Sofia

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

70%

Over 2.5

3.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick CSKA Sofia won 8 of 10 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Montana

Metric

CSKA Sofia

0.1

Goals For / Game

1.1

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.1

10%

Clean Sheet %

40%

0-1-9

W — D — L

5-0-5

Win Rate Comparison

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 17.4%

0-1 20.0%

0-2 11.5%

0-3 4.4%

0-4 1.3%

0-5 0.3%

1-0 10.4%

1-1 12.0%

1-2 6.9%

1-3 2.6%

1-4 0.8%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 3.1%

2-1 3.6%

2-2 2.1%

2-3 0.8%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 0.6%

3-1 0.7%

3-2 0.4%

3-3 0.2%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.1%

4-1 0.1%

4-2 0.1%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (20.0%) 0-2 (11.5%) 1-2 (6.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓ C=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Montana Win

20%

Draw

20%

CSKA Sofia Win

60%

1.67

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Montana

Overall

0.3 —

Scoring

0.3 —

Defence

6.0 —

CSKA Sofia

Overall

5.0 —

Scoring

3.7 —

Defence

6.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Home Win & BTTS No 0%

Draw & BTTS Yes 1%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%

Away Win & BTTS No 82%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 0%

Home Win & Under 2.5 0%

Draw & Over 2.5 2%

Draw & Under 2.5 7%

Away Win & Over 2.5 23%

Away Win & Under 2.5 68%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

02.11.25

First League: CSKA Sofia3

Montana1

21.04.21

First League: CSKA Sofia6

Montana0

08.11.20

First League: Montana1

CSKA Sofia2

31.07.20

Friendly: CSKA Sofia2

Montana3

25.09.18

Bulgarian Cup: Montana0

CSKA Sofia2

06.10.17

Friendly: CSKA Sofia3

Montana1

11.03.17

First League: CSKA Sofia2

Montana1

21.10.16

First League: Montana0

CSKA Sofia2

24.05.16

Bulgarian Cup: Montana0

CSKA Sofia1

24.09.14

Bulgarian Cup: Montana2

CSKA Sofia1

Recent Form

Montana

04.04.26

First League: Arda Kardzhali2

PFC Montana1

22.03.26

First League: PFC Montana0

Beroe1

15.03.26

First League: Cherno More1

PFC Montana0

09.03.26

First League: PFC Montana0

Ludogorets3

03.03.26

First League: Spartak Varna1

PFC Montana0

27.02.26

First League: PFC Montana0

Botev Plovdiv0

21.02.26

First League: Dobrudzha1

PFC Montana0

16.02.26

First League: Septemvri Sofia1

PFC Montana0

06.02.26

First League: PFC Montana0

CSKA 1948 Sofia1

29.01.26

Friendly: PFC Montana0

Leningradets -1

CSKA Sofia

04.04.26

First League: PFC Beroe0

PFC CSKA Sofia3

22.03.26

First League: PFC CSKA Sofia2

FC Dobrudzha0

14.03.26

First League: PFC Ludogorets3

PFC CSKA Sofia0

08.03.26

First League: PFC CSKA Sofia2

FC Lokomotiv Sofia0

04.03.26

First League: PFC CSKA Sofia1

POFC Botev Vratsa0

28.02.26

First League: PFC Septemvri Sofia2

PFC CSKA Sofia0

21.02.26

First League: PFC CSKA Sofia1

PFC Slavia Sofia0

14.02.26

First League: CSKA 1948 Sofia0

PFC CSKA Sofia2

10.02.26

Bulgarian Cup: PFC CSKA Sofia2

CSKA 1948 Sofia0

06.02.26

First League: PFC CSKA Sofia3

FC Arda Kardzhali1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bulgaria EFBET League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Montana vs CSKA Sofia?

Our selection is 2 — CSKA Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is Montana's current form?

Montana have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches.

How has CSKA Sofia been performing recently?

CSKA Sofia have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Montana lead with 2 wins versus CSKA Sofia's 8, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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