WON

Result: APR 1-0 Muhanga

APR

Home Side

W W W L D

4W 4D 2L

1-0

Rwanda Premier League

Muhanga

Away Side

L L W D D

2W 3D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing APR to win — Sunday, 5th April 2026

Best Odds 1.32

Confidence 57%

Implied Prob 75.8%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — APR to win

1.32

Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

75.8%

Based on 1.32 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-18.8%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

APR

Draws

Muhanga

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

3.1

Avg Goals

Supports Pick APR won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

APR

Metric

Muhanga

1.5

Goals For / Game

1.1

Goals Against / Game

1.8

30%

Clean Sheet %

4-4-2

W — D — L

2-3-5

Win Rate Comparison

40%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 7.1%

0-2 3.7%

0-3 1.3%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 11.1%

1-1 11.6%

1-2 6.1%

1-3 2.1%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.2%

2-1 9.6%

2-2 5.0%

2-3 1.8%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.0%

3-1 5.3%

3-2 2.8%

3-3 1.0%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.1%

4-1 2.2%

4-2 1.1%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.1%) 2-1 (9.6%) 2-0 (9.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

APR Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Muhanga Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

APR

Overall

5.2 ▼

Scoring

5.0 ▼

Defence

6.7 ▼

Muhanga

Overall

2.9 —

Scoring

3.7 —

Defence

4.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%

Home Win & BTTS No 17%

Draw & BTTS Yes 22%

Draw & BTTS No 15%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 23%

Home Win & Under 2.5 19%

Draw & Over 2.5 20%

Draw & Under 2.5 17%

Away Win & Over 2.5 12%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

26.12.25

PL: AS Muhanga1

APR FC2

14.05.21

PL: APR FC3

AS Muhanga1

05.05.21

PL: AS Muhanga1

APR FC3

16.02.20

PL: AS Muhanga0

APR FC2

27.10.19

PL: APR FC2

AS Muhanga0

18.05.19

PL: AS Muhanga2

APR FC1

06.01.19

PL: APR FC2

AS Muhanga1

15.05.16

PL: AS Muhanga0

APR FC3

07.11.15

PL: APR FC3

AS Muhanga1

04.05.14

PL: APR FC3

AS Muhanga0

Recent Form

APR

20.03.26

PL: APR FC1

Amagaju FC0

17.03.26

CUP: APR FC4

Gasogi United0

14.03.26

PL: APR FC2

Musanze FC0

11.03.26

CUP: Gasogi United1

APR FC0

07.03.26

PL: Marines FC2

APR FC2

27.02.26

PL: APR FC2

Gorilla FC1

20.02.26

PL: Police FC1

APR FC1

14.02.26

PL: APR FC1

SC Kiyovu Sports1

10.02.26

PL: Al-Hilal S.C.2

APR FC0

07.02.26

PL: Bugesera FC2

APR FC2

Muhanga

22.03.26

PL: AS Muhanga0

Musanze FC1

19.03.26

PL: Al Merrikh SC3

AS Muhanga0

15.03.26

PL: AS Muhanga2

Mukura Victory Sports1

08.03.26

PL: AS Kigali2

AS Muhanga2

01.03.26

PL: AS Muhanga1

Police FC1

21.02.26

PL: AS Muhanga2

Rutsiro FC1

15.02.26

PL: Etincelles FC2

AS Muhanga1

08.02.26

PL: AS Muhanga1

Gasogi United1

14.01.26

PL: Al-Hilal S.C.3

AS Muhanga0

09.01.26

PL: AS Muhanga2

Gicumbi FC3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Rwanda Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for APR vs Muhanga?

Our selection is 1 — APR to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 57%.

What is APR's current form?

APR have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Muhanga been performing recently?

Muhanga have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

APR lead with 9 wins versus Muhanga's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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