WON
Result: Abha 2-0 Al Jubail
DirectWinPredict Saudi Division 1 Abha vs Al Jubail
A

Abha

Home Side
D D W W W
8W 2D 0L
VS
2-0
Saudi Division 1
A
Al Jubail
Away Side
W L W L L
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Abha to win — Friday, 27th March 2026
Best Odds 1.10
Confidence 74%
Implied Prob 90.9%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Abha to win
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes75%
Implied Prob
90.9%
Based on 1.10 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-16.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Abha
0
Draws
0
Al Jubail
3
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Abha won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Abha
Metric
Al Jubail
2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2.1
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
8-2-0
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 8.8%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.9%) 2-0 (9.0%) 1-0 (8.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Abha Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Al Jubail Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Abha
Overall
8.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
Al Jubail
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 48%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 42%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.11.25
DIV: Al Jubail0
Abha3
16.03.25
DIV: Abha4
Al Jubail0
05.11.24
DIV: Al Jubail0
Abha1
Recent Form
Abha
01.03.26
DIV: Al Jandal1
Abha1
D
24.02.26
DIV: Abha1
Al Anwar1
D
20.02.26
DIV: Al-Arabi1
Abha3
W
15.02.26
DIV: Abha2
Al-Wehda1
W
09.02.26
DIV: Abha2
Al-Zulfi0
W
03.02.26
DIV: Al-Orobah1
Abha2
W
27.01.26
DIV: Abha3
Al-Jabalain1
W
21.01.26
DIV: Al-Faisaly0
Abha2
W
17.01.26
DIV: Abha2
Al-Raed1
W
11.01.26
DIV: Al-Adalah1
Abha2
W
Al Jubail
01.03.26
DIV: Al Jubail2
Al Bukayriyah1
W
24.02.26
DIV: Al-Raed1
Al Jubail0
L
19.02.26
DIV: Al Jubail1
Al Batin0
W
14.02.26
DIV: Al Tai4
Al Jubail0
L
09.02.26
DIV: Al Jubail2
Al Orobah3
L
04.02.26
DIV: Al Anwar4
Al Jubail3
L
30.01.26
DIV: Al Batin3
Al Jubail1
L
26.01.26
DIV: Al Jubail2
Al Zulfi2
D
21.01.26
DIV: Jeddah1
Al Jubail1
D
16.01.26
DIV: Al Jubail2
Al Adalah2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Division 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.10 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Abha vs Al Jubail?
Our selection is 1 — Abha to win, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Abha's current form?
Abha have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Jubail been performing recently?
Al Jubail have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Abha lead with 3 wins versus Al Jubail's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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