WON
Result: Nice 0-4 PSG
DirectWinPredict Ligue 1 Nice vs PSG
N

Nice

Home Side
W L W L D
7W 1D 2L
VS
0-4
Ligue 1
P
PSG
Away Side
W W L W D
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing PSG to win — Saturday, 21st March 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 44%
Implied Prob 71.9%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — PSG to win
1.39
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
Implied Prob
71.9%
Based on 1.39 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-27.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Nice
2
Draws
5
PSG
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Neutral Data PSG won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Nice
Metric
PSG
0
Goals For / Game
0
0
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheet %
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
N0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (13.4%) 0-2 (1.3%) 1-2 (0.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   P=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Nice Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
PSG Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Nice
Overall
7.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
PSG
Overall
3.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 58%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 58%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
01.11.25
L1: PSG1
Nice0
25.04.25
L1: PSG1
Nice3
06.10.24
L1: Nice1
PSG1
15.05.24
L1: Nice1
PSG2
13.03.24
CDF: PSG3
Nice1
15.09.23
L1: PSG2
Nice3
08.04.23
L1: Nice0
PSG2
01.10.22
L1: PSG2
Nice1
05.03.22
L1: Nice1
PSG0
31.01.22
CDF: PSG0
Nice (0-1)0
Recent Form
Nice
17.03.26
UCL: Chelsea0
PSG3
W
11.03.26
UCL: PSG5
Chelsea2
W
06.03.26
L1: PSG1
Monaco3
L
28.02.26
L1: Le Havre0
PSG1
W
25.02.26
UCL: PSG2
Monaco2
D
21.02.26
L1: PSG3
Metz0
W
17.02.26
UCL: Monaco2
PSG3
W
13.02.26
L1: Rennes3
PSG1
L
08.02.26
L1: PSG5
Marseille0
W
01.02.26
L1: Strasbourg1
PSG2
W
PSG
14.03.26
L1: Angers0
Nice2
W
08.03.26
L1: Nice0
Rennes4
L
04.03.26
CDF: Lorient0
Nice (0-1)0
W
01.03.26
L1: Paris FC1
Nice0
L
22.02.26
L1: Nice3
Lorient3
D
15.02.26
L1: Lyon2
Nice0
L
08.02.26
L1: Nice0
Monaco0
D
04.02.26
CDF: Nice3
Montpellier2
W
01.02.26
L1: Nice2
Brest2
D
29.01.26
EL: Ludogorets1
Nice0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ligue 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nice vs PSG?
Our selection is 2 — PSG to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Nice's current form?
Nice have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has PSG been performing recently?
PSG have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nice lead with 3 wins versus PSG's 5, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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