WON

Result: Man City W 5-2 Tottenham W

Man City W

Home Side

D W W L W

7W 1D 2L

5-2

WSL

Tottenham W

Away Side

L W W L W

5W 1D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Man City W to win — Saturday, 21st March 2026

Best Odds 1.25

Confidence 71%

Implied Prob 80%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Man City W to win

1.25

Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

80%

Based on 1.25 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Man City W

Draws

Tottenham W

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Man City W won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Man City W

Metric

Tottenham W

Goals For / Game

2.1

0.5

Goals Against / Game

1.7

50%

Clean Sheet %

20%

7-1-2

W — D — L

5-1-4

Win Rate Comparison

70%

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.6%

0-1 3.4%

0-2 2.2%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 6.1%

1-1 7.9%

1-2 5.2%

1-3 2.2%

1-4 0.7%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 7.2%

2-1 9.3%

2-2 6.1%

2-3 2.6%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 5.6%

3-1 7.3%

3-2 4.8%

3-3 2.1%

3-4 0.7%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 3.3%

4-1 4.3%

4-2 2.8%

4-3 1.2%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.6%

5-1 2.0%

5-2 1.3%

5-3 0.6%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.3%) 3-1 (7.3%) 2-0 (7.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓ T=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Man City W Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Tottenham W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Man City W

Overall

7.3 ▲

Scoring

10.0 ▲

Defence

8.3 ▲

Tottenham W

Overall

5.3 ▼

Scoring

7.0 ▼

Defence

4.3 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Home Win & BTTS No 30%

Draw & BTTS Yes 4%

Draw & BTTS No 4%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%

Away Win & BTTS No 21%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 35%

Home Win & Under 2.5 19%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 25%

Away Win & Under 2.5 13%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

19.09.25

WSL: Tottenham W1

Manchester City5

02.03.25

WSL: Tottenham W1

Manchester City2

08.11.24

WSL: Manchester City W4

Tottenham0

10.03.24

FAC: Tottenham W1

Manchester City W (1-0)1

07.02.24

CUP: Tottenham W0

Manchester City1

28.01.24

WSL: Tottenham W0

Manchester City2

26.11.23

WSL: Manchester City W7

Tottenham0

05.03.23

WSL: Manchester City W3

Tottenham1

22.10.22

WSL: Tottenham W0

Manchester City3

13.03.22

WSL: Tottenham W0

Manchester City1

Recent Form

Man City W

15.03.26

WSL: Aston Villa W0

Manchester City W0

22.02.26

FAC: Manchester City W4

Sheffield Utd W0

13.02.26

WSL: Manchester City W6

Leicester W0

08.02.26

WSL: Arsenal W1

Manchester City W0

01.02.26

WSL: Manchester City W5

Chelsea W1

25.01.26

WSL: London City Lionesses W1

Manchester City W2

21.01.26

CUP: Manchester City W0

Chelsea W1

18.01.26

FAC: Bournemouth W0

Manchester City W6

11.01.26

WSL: Manchester City W2

Everton W0

21.12.25

CUP: West Ham W1

Manchester City W5

Tottenham W

15.03.26

WSL: Tottenham W1

Everton W2

23.02.26

FAC: London City Lionesses W2

Tottenham W3

15.02.26

WSL: Aston Villa W3

Tottenham W7

08.02.26

WSL: Tottenham W0

Chelsea W2

01.02.26

WSL: West Ham W1

Tottenham W2

25.01.26

WSL: Liverpool W2

Tottenham W0

18.01.26

FAC: Tottenham W3

Leicester W0

11.01.26

WSL: Tottenham W1

Leicester W0

21.12.25

CUP: Manchester Utd W2

Tottenham W1

14.12.25

WSL: Manchester Utd W3

Tottenham W3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this WSL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Man City W vs Tottenham W?

Our selection is 1 — Man City W to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 71%.

What is Man City W's current form?

Man City W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Tottenham W been performing recently?

Tottenham W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Man City W lead with 9 wins versus Tottenham W's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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