WON
Result: Beveren 4-0 RFC Liege
DirectWinPredict Challenger Pro League Beveren vs RFC Liege
B

Beveren

Home Side
D W W W W
9W 1D 0L
VS
4-0
Challenger Pro League
R
RFC Liege
Away Side
L D L W L
4W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Saturday, 21st March 2026
Best Odds 1.66
Confidence 47%
Implied Prob 60.2%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.66
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
60.2%
Based on 1.66 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-13.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Beveren
4
Draws
0
RFC Liege
9
Meetings
78%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 67% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Beveren
Metric
RFC Liege
2.4
Goals For / Game
0
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
90%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
B0
0-0 19.2%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 23.1%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 2.3%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 13.8%
2-1 6.2%
2-2 1.4%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 2.5%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (23.1%) 0-0 (19.2%) 2-0 (13.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Beveren
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
7.0
RFC Liege
Overall
4.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
24.09.25
CPL: RFC Liège1
SK Beveren2
15.02.25
CPL: SK Beveren3
RFC Liège1
31.08.24
CPL: RFC Liège0
SK Beveren0
31.03.24
CPL: RFC Liège5
SK Beveren1
24.09.23
CPL: SK Beveren1
RFC Liège2
17.01.10
CPL: RFC Liège0
SK Beveren1
29.08.09
CPL: SK Beveren2
RFC Liège1
11.04.09
CPL: SK Beveren2
RFC Liège1
30.11.08
CPL: RFC Liège1
SK Beveren1
Recent Form
Beveren
14.03.26
CPL: Club Brugge KV U232
SK Beveren2
D
11.03.26
CPL: SK Beveren3
RWDM Brussels2
W
08.03.26
CPL: Sporting Lokeren1
SK Beveren2
W
28.02.26
CPL: SK Beveren2
OC Charleroi0
W
22.02.26
CPL: Patro Eisden1
SK Beveren4
W
15.02.26
CPL: Francs Borains0
SK Beveren2
W
08.02.26
CPL: SK Beveren2
Lommel SK0
W
28.01.26
CPL: Gent U232
SK Beveren4
W
25.01.26
CPL: SK Beveren1
K. Lierse S.K.0
W
17.01.26
CPL: Eupen1
SK Beveren2
W
RFC Liege
14.03.26
CPL: RFC Liège0
Beerschot VA1
L
10.03.26
CPL: Patro Eisden1
RFC Liège1
D
27.02.26
CPL: Kortrijk3
RFC Liège1
L
20.02.26
CPL: RFC Liège3
Club Brugge KV U232
W
14.02.26
CPL: Genk U232
RFC Liège0
L
06.02.26
CPL: RFC Liège2
K. Lierse S.K.1
W
31.01.26
CPL: Anderlecht U230
RFC Liège0
D
27.01.26
CPL: RFC Liège1
Lommel SK0
W
24.01.26
CPL: Seraing2
RFC Liège2
D
17.01.26
CPL: RFC Liège3
Francs Borains1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Challenger Pro League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.66 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Beveren vs RFC Liege?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.66. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Beveren's current form?
Beveren have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has RFC Liege been performing recently?
RFC Liege have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Beveren lead with 5 wins versus RFC Liege's 0, with 4 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 78%.
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