LOST
Result: TNS 0-2 Colwyn Bay
DirectWinPredict Wales Cymru Premier TNS vs Colwyn Bay
T

TNS

Home Side
W W D W W
8W 0D 2L
VS
0-2
Wales Cymru Premier
C
Colwyn Bay
Away Side
W L W L W
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing TNS to win — Friday, 20th March 2026
Best Odds 1.20
Confidence 46%
Implied Prob 83.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — TNS to win
1.20
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
83.3%
Based on 1.20 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-37.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
TNS
7
Draws
0
Colwyn Bay
7
Meetings
43%
BTTS Rate
29%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Against Pick TNS won 0 of the last 7 meetings (7 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
TNS
Metric
Colwyn Bay
0
Goals For / Game
1.3
0
Goals Against / Game
1.7
0%
Clean Sheet %
10%
8-0-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
T0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 14.5%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 19.0%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 1.7%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (19.0%) 2-0 (8.1%) 2-1 (5.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
TNS Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Colwyn Bay Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
TNS
Overall
8.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Colwyn Bay
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
25.08.25
PL: Colwyn Bay1
The New Saints1
15.12.24
FAC: The New Saints4
Colwyn Bay1
31.10.23
PL: The New Saints6
Colwyn Bay1
29.08.23
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints1
20.03.22
FAC: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
Recent Form
TNS
14.03.26
PL: Penybont1
The New Saints2
W
03.03.26
PL: Connah’s Q.1
The New Saints2
W
28.02.26
CUP: The New Saints0
Barry2
L
20.02.26
PL: The New Saints2
Caernarfon1
W
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
W
07.02.26
PL: The New Saints6
Penybont0
W
24.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Barry0
W
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
W
06.01.26
PL: The New Saints2
Bala1
W
31.12.25
PL: Connah’s Q.3
The New Saints1
L
Colwyn Bay
14.03.26
PL: Colwyn Bay3
Barry1
W
27.02.26
PL: Caernarfon3
Colwyn Bay0
L
21.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay3
Penybont1
W
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
L
07.02.26
PL: Barry0
Colwyn Bay1
W
31.01.26
FAC: Caernarfon4
Colwyn Bay1
L
24.01.26
PL: Colwyn Bay2
Connah’s Q.2
D
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
L
01.01.26
PL: Colwyn Bay1
Flint2
L
27.12.25
PL: Caernarfon1
Colwyn Bay2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Wales Cymru Premier game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.20 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for TNS vs Colwyn Bay?
Our selection is 1 — TNS to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is TNS's current form?
TNS have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Colwyn Bay been performing recently?
Colwyn Bay have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
TNS lead with 0 wins versus Colwyn Bay's 0, with 7 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 43%.
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