WON
Result: Al Merreikh 3-0 Muhanga
DirectWinPredict Rwanda Premier League Al Merreikh vs Muhanga
A

Al Merreikh

Home Side
D W D W W
3W 7D 0L
VS
3-0
Rwanda Premier League
M
Muhanga
Away Side
W D D W L
2W 4D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Merreikh to win — Thursday, 19th March 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 34%
Implied Prob 74.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
0
Al Merreikh
1
Draws
0
Muhanga
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
0
Avg Goals
Against Pick Al Merreikh won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Merreikh
Metric
Muhanga
1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
3-7-0
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate Comparison
30%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
A0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 10.0%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 14.4%
1-1 13.0%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.4%) 2-0 (9.4%) 2-1 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   M=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Merreikh Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Muhanga Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Merreikh
Overall
5.1
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.7
Muhanga
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 34%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 31%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.12.25
PL: Muhanga0
Al-Merreikh0
Recent Form
Al Merreikh
16.03.26
PL: Rayon Sport0
Al-Merreikh0
D
09.03.26
PL: Police0
Al-Merreikh1
W
27.02.26
PL: Al-Merreikh1
Gasogi United1
D
22.02.26
PL: AS Kigali0
Al-Merreikh1
W
17.02.26
PL: Al-Hilal Omdurman1
Al-Merreikh2
W
13.02.26
PL: Musanze1
Al-Merreikh1
D
08.02.26
PL: Marines1
Al-Merreikh1
D
21.01.26
PL: Al-Merreikh2
Rayon Sport2
D
18.01.26
PL: APR0
Al-Merreikh0
D
11.01.26
PL: Al-Merreikh1
Mukura Victory Sports1
D
Muhanga
15.03.26
PL: Muhanga2
Mukura Victory Sports1
W
08.03.26
PL: AS Kigali2
Muhanga2
D
01.03.26
PL: Muhanga1
Police1
D
21.02.26
PL: Muhanga2
Rutsiro1
W
15.02.26
PL: Etincelles2
Muhanga1
L
08.02.26
PL: Muhanga1
Gasogi United1
D
14.01.26
PL: Al-Hilal Omdurman3
Muhanga0
L
09.01.26
PL: Muhanga2
Gicumbi3
L
04.01.26
PL: Rayon Sport2
Muhanga0
L
29.12.25
PL: Muhanga0
Al-Merreikh0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Rwanda Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer. Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today. It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page. The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the 1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Merreikh vs Muhanga?
Our selection is 1 — Al Merreikh to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 34%.
What is Al Merreikh's current form?
Al Merreikh have won 3, drawn 7 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Muhanga been performing recently?
Muhanga have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Merreikh lead with 0 wins versus Muhanga's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.