WON
Result:
Bayern Munich 4-1 Atalanta
B
Bayern Munich
Home Side
D
W
W
W
W
8W 2D 0L
VS
4-1
A
Atalanta
Away Side
D
L
D
D
L
5W 3D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Bayern Munich to win — Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Best Odds
1.43
Confidence
74%
Implied Prob
69.9%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bayern Munich to win
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
69.9%
Based on 1.43 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+4.1%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
13.5%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
1
Bayern Munich
0
Draws
0
Atalanta
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Bayern Munich won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Bayern Munich
Metric
Atalanta
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
8-2-0
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B0
0-0
2.9%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
0-3
1.5%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.2%
B1
1-0
6.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
B2
2-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
B3
3-0
4.4%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
4.7%
3-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
B4
4-0
2.3%
4-1
3.4%
4-2
2.5%
4-3
1.2%
4-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
B5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
1.4%
5-2
1.0%
5-3
0.5%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Predicted Scores
2-1 (9.2%)
3-1 (6.4%)
2-0 (6.3%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bayern Munich Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Atalanta Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
36%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
11%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
22%
Away Win & BTTS No
10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
39%
Home Win & Under 2.5
13%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
24%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
CL: Atalanta1
Bayern Munich6
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
BUN: Bayer Leverkusen1
Bayern Munich1
CL: Atalanta1
Bayern Munich6
BUN: Bayern Munich4
B. Monchengladbach1
BUN: Dortmund2
Bayern Munich3
BUN: Bayern Munich3
Eintracht Frankfurt2
BUN: Werder Bremen0
Bayern Munich3
POK: Bayern Munich2
RB Leipzig0
BUN: Bayern Munich5
Hoffenheim1
BUN: Hamburger SV2
Bayern Munich2
CL: PSV1
Bayern Munich2
Atalanta
SA: Atalanta2
Udinese2
COP: Lazio2
Atalanta2
SA: Sassuolo2
Atalanta1
CL: Atalanta4
Dortmund1
SA: Atalanta2
Napoli1
CL: Dortmund2
Atalanta0
SA: Lazio0
Atalanta2
SA: Atalanta2
Cremonese1
COP: Atalanta3
Juventus0
SA: Como0
Atalanta0
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bayern Munich vs Atalanta?
Our selection is 1 — Bayern Munich to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atalanta been performing recently?
Atalanta have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bayern Munich lead with 1 wins versus Atalanta's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.