WON
Result:
Barcelona 7-2 Newcastle
B
Barcelona
Home Side
W
D
W
W
W
7W 1D 2L
VS
7-2
N
Newcastle
Away Side
W
D
L
W
L
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Barcelona to win — Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Best Odds
1.60
Confidence
65%
Implied Prob
62.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Barcelona to win
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals85%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
BTTS — Yes75%
Implied Prob
62.5%
Based on 1.60 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+2.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
6.7%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
4
Barcelona
1
Draws
1
Newcastle
6
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Barcelona won 4 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Barcelona
Metric
Newcastle
2.3
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
B0
0-0
2.4%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
1.9%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.3%
B1
1-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
4.0%
1-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
B2
2-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
B3
3-0
3.4%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
3-3
2.8%
3-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
B4
4-0
1.7%
4-1
2.9%
4-2
2.5%
4-3
1.4%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.2%
B5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
1.2%
5-2
1.0%
5-3
0.6%
5-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
Top Predicted Scores
2-1 (8.4%)
3-1 (5.7%)
2-0 (4.9%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ N=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Barcelona Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Newcastle Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
41%
Home Win & BTTS No
14%
Draw & BTTS Yes
6%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Away Win & BTTS No
10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
46%
Home Win & Under 2.5
8%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
1%
Away Win & Over 2.5
32%
Away Win & Under 2.5
6%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
CL: Newcastle1
Barcelona1
CL: Newcastle1
Barcelona2
CL: Newcastle0
Barcelona2
CL: Barcelona3
Newcastle1
CL: Barcelona1
Newcastle0
CL: Newcastle3
Barcelona2
Recent Form
Barcelona
LL: Barcelona5
Sevilla2
CL: Newcastle1
Barcelona1
LL: Ath Bilbao0
Barcelona1
CDR: Barcelona3
Atl. Madrid0
LL: Barcelona4
Villarreal1
LL: Barcelona3
Levante0
LL: Girona2
Barcelona1
CDR: Atl. Madrid4
Barcelona0
LL: Barcelona3
Mallorca0
CDR: Albacete1
Barcelona2
Newcastle
CL: Newcastle1
Barcelona1
FAC: Newcastle1
Manchester City3
PL: Newcastle2
Manchester Utd1
PL: Newcastle2
Everton3
CL: Newcastle3
Qarabag2
PL: Manchester City2
Newcastle1
CL: Qarabag1
Newcastle6
FAC: Aston Villa1
Newcastle3
PL: Tottenham1
Newcastle2
PL: Newcastle2
Brentford3
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Barcelona vs Newcastle?
Our selection is 1 — Barcelona to win, priced at approximately 1.60. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Newcastle been performing recently?
Newcastle have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Barcelona lead with 4 wins versus Newcastle's 1, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.