LOST
Result:
Drochtersen/Assel 4-1 Lohne
D
Drochtersen/Assel
Home Side
W
W
W
W
W
5W 0D 0L
VS
4-1
L
Lohne
Away Side
D
D
D
L
W
1W 3D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Drochtersen/Assel to win — Tuesday, 17th March 2026
Best Odds
1.48
Confidence
63%
Implied Prob
67.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Drochtersen/Assel to win
1.48
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
67.6%
Based on 1.48 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-4.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
2
Drochtersen/Assel
2
Draws
1
Lohne
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Against Pick
Drochtersen/Assel won 2 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Drochtersen/Assel
Metric
Lohne
4.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
5-0-0
W — D — L
1-3-1
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
D0
0-0
3.0%
0-1
2.7%
0-2
1.2%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
D1
1-0
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
1-2
3.2%
1-3
1.0%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
D2
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
D3
3-0
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
3-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
D4
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.0%
D5
5-0
3.0%
5-1
2.7%
5-2
1.2%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
2-0 (10.2%)
2-1 (9.2%)
3-0 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓ L=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Drochtersen/Assel Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Lohne Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Home Win & BTTS No
34%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Away Win & BTTS No
7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
40%
Home Win & Under 2.5
27%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
8%
Away Win & Under 2.5
5%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
RL: Lohne3
Drochtersen/Assel4
RL: Lohne0
Drochtersen/Assel0
RL: Drochtersen/Assel2
Lohne0
RL: Drochtersen/Assel2
Lohne3
RL: Lohne0
Drochtersen/Assel0
Recent Form
Drochtersen/Assel
RL: Drochtersen/Assel3
SC Weiche-081
RL: Phonix Lubeck0
Drochtersen/Assel2
RL: Drochtersen/Assel5
Eintracht Norderstedt1
CF: St. Pauli II2
Drochtersen/Assel4
CF: Drochtersen/Assel7
Dassendorf0
Lohne
RL: Oldenburg1
Lohne1
RL: Lohne0
Werder Bremen II0
RL: St. Pauli II1
Lohne1
RL: Lohne0
SC Weiche-083
CF: Lohne3
Bersenbruck0
Match Analysis
Writeup
The Regionalliga Nord serves up a fascinating clash where Drochtersen/Assel looks to leverage their home-field advantage. Known for their physical and organized style of play, the hosts have made their stadium a difficult place for mid-table sides like Lohne to visit.
Drochtersen/Assel’s recent tactical shift has seen them prioritize early goals, a strategy that often unsettles Lohne’s backline. Lohne’s away form has been patchy at best, often failing to score in tight away matches. The statistical edge lies with the hosts, who have a higher win probability based on their current home resilience.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Drochtersen/Assel vs Lohne?
Our selection is 1 — Drochtersen/Assel to win, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Drochtersen/Assel's current form?
Drochtersen/Assel have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Lohne been performing recently?
Lohne have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Drochtersen/Assel lead with 2 wins versus Lohne's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.