WON
Result:
Arsenal 2-0 Everton
A
Arsenal
Home Side
D
W
W
W
W
4W 1D 0L
VS
2-0
E
Everton
Away Side
W
W
L
L
W
3W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Arsenal to win — Saturday, 14th March 2026
Best Odds
1.44
Confidence
19%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Arsenal to win
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Based on 1.44 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-50.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
Arsenal
2
Draws
0
Everton
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
20%
Over 2.5
1.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Arsenal won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Arsenal
Metric
Everton
2
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
4-1-0
W — D — L
3-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
A0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
4.4%
0-3
1.8%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
A3
3-0
4.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
3.0%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
A4
4-0
1.7%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (9.7%)
2-1 (9.3%)
2-0 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ E=Away goals →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
37%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
32%
Home Win & Under 2.5
21%
Draw & Over 2.5
4%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
24%
Away Win & Under 2.5
16%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ PL (Dec 20, 2025): Everton0
Arsenal1
⚽ PL (Apr 5, 2025): Everton1
Arsenal1
⚽ PL (Dec 14, 2024): Arsenal0
Everton0
⚽ PL (May 19, 2024): Arsenal2
Everton1
⚽ PL (Sep 17, 2023): Everton0
Arsenal1
Recent Form
Arsenal
⚽ CL (Mar 11, 2026): Bayer Leverkusen1
Arsenal1
⚽ FAC (Mar 07, 2026): Mansfield1
Arsenal2
⚽ PL (Mar 04, 2026): Brighton0
Arsenal1
⚽ PL (Mar 01, 2026): Arsenal2
Chelsea1
⚽ PL (Feb 22, 2026): Tottenham1
Arsenal4
Everton
⚽ PL (Mar 03, 2026): Everton2
Burnley0
⚽ PL (Feb 28, 2026): Newcastle2
Everton3
⚽ PL (Feb 23, 2026): Everton0
Manchester Utd1
⚽ PL (Feb 10, 2026): Everton1
Bournemouth2
⚽ PL (Feb 07, 2026): Fulham1
Everton2
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Arsenal vs Everton?
Our selection is 1 — Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 19%.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Everton been performing recently?
Everton have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Arsenal lead with 3 wins versus Everton's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.