WON

Result: Lyngby 4-1 Middelfart

Lyngby

Home Side

W W D W D

3W 2D 0L

4-1

Denmark 1 Division

Middelfart

Away Side

L L L W L

1W 0D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Lyngby to win — Friday, 13th March 2026

Best Odds 1.25

Confidence 45%

Implied Prob 80%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Lyngby to win

1.25

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

80%

Based on 1.25 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-35%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Lyngby

Draws

Middelfart

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Against Pick Lyngby won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Lyngby

Metric

Middelfart

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

2.6

20%

Clean Sheet %

20%

3-2-0

W — D — L

1-0-4

Win Rate Comparison

60%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.3%

0-1 3.7%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 7.7%

1-1 8.4%

1-2 4.6%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 8.8%

2-1 9.7%

2-2 5.3%

2-3 2.0%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.8%

3-1 7.4%

3-2 4.1%

3-3 1.5%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 3.9%

4-1 4.3%

4-2 2.4%

4-3 0.9%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.8%

5-1 2.0%

5-2 1.1%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.7%) 2-0 (8.8%) 1-0 (7.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Lyngby Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Middelfart Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Lyngby

Overall

7.2 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

6.7 —

Middelfart

Overall

2.0 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

1.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 14%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 6%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 48%

Home Win & Under 2.5 12%

Draw & Over 2.5 16%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 16%

Away Win & Under 2.5 4%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ 1D (Aug 30, 2025): Middelfart2

Lyngby2

Recent Form

Lyngby

⚽ 1D (Mar 9, 2026): Horsens1

Lyngby3

⚽ 1D (Feb 27, 2026): Lyngby2

Kolding IF0

⚽ CF (Feb 20, 2026): Hillerod2

Lyngby2

⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Syunik1

Lyngby2

⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Torpedo Kutaisi1

Lyngby1

Middelfart

⚽ 1D (Mar 7, 2026): Middelfart1

Hvidovre IF2

⚽ 1D (Feb 28, 2026): Aarhus Fremad4

Middelfart1

⚽ CF (Feb 21, 2026): Kolding IF4

Middelfart1

⚽ CF (Feb 13, 2026): Middelfart3

Jihlava0

⚽ CF (Feb 8, 2026): Middelfart0

Corvinul3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

The Danish 1st Division offers a fascinating top-versus-bottom clash as league leaders Lyngby welcome 12th-placed Middelfart to their home ground. On the surface, it looks like a routine day at the office for the hosts, but Middelfart’s recent goal-scoring exploits suggest an entertaining encounter is on the cards.

Lyngby has been absolutely dominant this season, turning their stadium into an impenetrable fortress. They are unbeaten in their last seven home matches, claiming victory in the last three. Averaging 2.4 points per game over their last five fixtures, they combine a lethal attack (scoring 10 times in that span) with a sturdy defense that has recorded eight clean sheets this campaign. Their ability to dictate play and suffocate opponents makes them the undisputed heavy favorites.

However, Middelfart cannot be entirely written off. Despite their lowly league position and an average of just 0.8 points per game recently, they are incredibly entertaining to watch. They have scored eight goals in their last five fixtures, and both teams have scored in 100% of those matches. They clearly know how to find the back of the net, but their defensive unit is highly porous, conceding 22 goals overall this season. They will undoubtedly leave gaps at the back.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Lyngby vs Middelfart?

Our selection is 1 — Lyngby to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 45%.

What is Lyngby's current form?

Lyngby have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Middelfart been performing recently?

Middelfart have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Lyngby lead with 0 wins versus Middelfart's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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