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Result: Erokspor 1-1 Bandirmaspor
DirectWinPredict Turkey 1LIG Erokspor vs Bandirmaspor
E

Erokspor

Home Side
W W W W W
5W 0D 0L
VS
1-1
Turkey 1LIG
B
Bandirmaspor
Away Side
W W W L L
3W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Erokspor to win — Thursday, 12th March 2026
Best Odds 1.37
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 73%
H
50%
D
20%
A
30%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Erokspor to win
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
73%
Based on 1.37 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-15%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Erokspor
2
Draws
1
Bandirmaspor
3
Meetings
33%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
1
Avg Goals
Against Pick Erokspor won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Erokspor
Metric
Bandirmaspor
3.2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
5-0-0
W — D — L
3-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
100%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
E0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.3%
E2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
E3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 7.0%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
E4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
E5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.2%) 3-1 (7.0%) 2-0 (6.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Erokspor Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Bandirmaspor Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Erokspor
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.7
Bandirmaspor
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 50%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
⚽ 1LIG (26.10.25): Bandirmaspor0
Erokspor0
⚽ 1LIG (27.04.25): Bandirmaspor1
Erokspor0
⚽ 1LIG (22.12.24): Erokspor1
Bandirmaspor1
Recent Form
Erokspor
⚽ 1LIG (08.03.26): Bodrumspor3
Erokspor4
⚽ 1LIG (27.02.26): Erokspor2
Boluspor0
⚽ 1LIG (21.02.26): Igdir FK0
Erokspor3
⚽ 1LIG (17.02.26): Istanbulspor AS1
Erokspor4
⚽ 1LIG (13.02.26): Erokspor3
Manisa FK1
Bandirmaspor
⚽ 1LIG (07.03.26): Bandirmaspor1
Istanbulspor AS0
⚽ 1LIG (01.03.26): Umraniyespor1
Bandirmaspor2
⚽ 1LIG (22.02.26): Bandirmaspor4
Hatayspor0
⚽ 1LIG (18.02.26): Manisa FK3
Bandirmaspor2
⚽ 1LIG (14.02.26): Bandirmaspor0
Serik Spor3
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, Erokspor host Bandirmaspor in Turkey 1LIG. We recommend Erokspor to win as the standout selection.

Erokspor arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Bandirmaspor are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 0D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Erokspor, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Bandirmaspor's 1, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: erokspor to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you’re a form watcher, you absolutely have to back Erokspor here. They are sitting comfortably in 2nd place in the Turkish 1. Lig is riding an incredible five-match winning streak. Bandirmaspor, on the other hand, has had a shaky run recently, suffering back-to-back defeats and struggling to find its rhythm. Erokspor is eyeing automatic promotion, so dropping points at home is simply not an option. The momentum heavily favors the hosts.

Prediction: 1 (Erokspor Win)

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Erokspor vs Bandirmaspor?
Our selection is 1 — Erokspor to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Erokspor's current form?
Erokspor have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Bandirmaspor been performing recently?
Bandirmaspor have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Erokspor lead with 0 wins versus Bandirmaspor's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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