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Result: Qatar SC 2-0 Al Gharafa

Qatar SC

Q: What is the recommended bet for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 91%.

Home Side

W L D W L

2W 2D 1L

2-0

Qatar QSL

Al Gharafa

Away Side

W L L W L

2W 0D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Over 2.5

Backing over 2.5 goals — Thursday, 12th March 2026

Best Odds 1.45

Confidence 91%

Implied Prob 69%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals

1.45

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

69%

Based on 1.45 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+22%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

71%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Qatar SC

Draws

Al Gharafa

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

4.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Qatar SC

Metric

Al Gharafa

2.6

Goals For / Game

2.2

Goals Against / Game

2.4

Clean Sheet %

20%

2-2-1

W — D — L

2-0-3

Win Rate Comparison

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 1.7%

0-1 2.7%

0-2 2.1%

0-3 1.1%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 4.1%

1-1 6.6%

1-2 5.3%

1-3 2.8%

1-4 1.1%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 5.2%

2-1 8.3%

2-2 6.6%

2-3 3.5%

2-4 1.4%

2-5 0.5%

3-0 4.3%

3-1 6.9%

3-2 5.5%

3-3 3.0%

3-4 1.2%

3-5 0.4%

4-0 2.7%

4-1 4.3%

4-2 3.5%

4-3 1.8%

4-4 0.7%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 1.4%

5-1 2.2%

5-2 1.7%

5-3 0.9%

5-4 0.4%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.3%) 3-1 (6.9%) 1-1 (6.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Q=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Qatar SC

Overall

5.2 —

Scoring

8.7 —

Defence

2.7 —

Al Gharafa

Overall

4.0 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

2.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Home Win & BTTS No 16%

Draw & BTTS Yes 12%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Away Win & BTTS No 16%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 28%

Home Win & Under 2.5 12%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 6%

Away Win & Over 2.5 28%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ QSC (19.01.26): Qatar SC3

Al-Gharafa2

⚽ QSL (07.11.25): Al-Gharafa2

Qatar SC1

⚽ QSL (22.02.25): Al-Gharafa4

Qatar SC2

⚽ QSL (22.09.24): Qatar SC1

Al-Gharafa3

⚽ EMI (19.05.24): Al-Gharafa2

Qatar SC3

Recent Form

Qatar SC

⚽ QSL (20.02.26): Al-Shahaniya3

Qatar SC4

⚽ EMI (13.02.26): Al-Shamal2

Qatar SC1

⚽ QSL (06.02.26): Qatar SC3

Al Rayyan3

⚽ QSL (31.01.26): Al Ahli Doha1

Qatar SC3

⚽ QSC (26.01.26): Al Arabi2

Qatar SC (12-11)2

Al Gharafa

⚽ QSL (26.02.26): Al-Gharafa3

Al Rayyan2

⚽ QSL (22.02.26): Al-Gharafa0

Al-Shamal1

⚽ CL (17.02.26): Al-Gharafa0

Tractor2

⚽ EMI (14.02.26): Al-Gharafa2

Al-Kharitiyath0

⚽ CL (10.02.26): Al Ittihad7

Al-Gharafa0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, Qatar SC host Al Gharafa in Qatar QSL. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Qatar SC arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Al Gharafa are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 0D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Qatar SC, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Al Gharafa's 3, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

When you look at the recent setups for both sides, expect absolute fireworks. Qatar SC has been averaging well over two goals per game at home, and Al Gharafa isn’t exactly shy in the final third either. Al Gharafa leads the historical H2H by a mile, but Qatar SC’s current attacking form makes them incredibly dangerous on the break. This is a crucial must-win for Al Gharafa if they want to maintain their momentum near the top of the Stars League, which guarantees an open, attacking game from the first whistle.

Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 91%.

What is Qatar SC's current form?

Qatar SC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Al Gharafa been performing recently?

Al Gharafa have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Qatar SC lead with 2 wins versus Al Gharafa's 3, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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