WON
Result:
Orlando Pirates 2-0 Richards Bay
O
Orlando Pirates
Home Side
W
W
L
L
W
3W 0D 2L
VS
2-0
R
Richards Bay
Away Side
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Orlando Pirates to win — Wednesday, 11th March 2026
Best Odds
1.25
Confidence
61%
Implied Prob
80%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Orlando Pirates to win
1.25
BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
80%
Based on 1.25 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-19%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
4
Orlando Pirates
0
Draws
1
Richards Bay
5
Meetings
20%
BTTS Rate
20%
Over 2.5
1.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Orlando Pirates won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Orlando Pirates
Metric
Richards Bay
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
3-0-2
W — D — L
2-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
O0
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
3.3%
0-3
1.0%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
O1
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
5.3%
1-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
O2
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
O3
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
O4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
0.9%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
O5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (13.1%)
2-0 (10.5%)
2-1 (9.5%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · O=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Orlando Pirates Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Richards Bay Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Home Win & BTTS No
39%
Draw & BTTS Yes
3%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
33%
Home Win & Under 2.5
22%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
22%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ TK (08.11.25): Richards Bay0
Orlando Pirates1
⚽ NC (26.01.25): Richards Bay1
Orlando Pirates3
⚽ PS (05.11.24): Orlando Pirates1
Richards Bay0
⚽ PS (29.09.24): Richards Bay0
Orlando Pirates1
⚽ PS (11.05.24): Orlando Pirates0
Richards Bay1
Recent Form
Orlando Pirates
⚽ PS (04.03.26): Polokwane1
Orlando Pirates2
⚽ PS (28.02.26): Kaizer Chiefs0
Orlando Pirates3
⚽ NC (21.02.26): Orlando Pirates0
Casric Stars1
⚽ PS (18.02.26): Orlando Pirates1
Mamelodi Sundowns2
⚽ PS (14.02.26): Orlando Pirates3
Marumo Gallants0
Richards Bay
⚽ PS (03.03.26): Richards Bay1
Kaizer Chiefs0
⚽ PS (28.02.26): Orbit College0
Richards Bay0
⚽ NC (20.02.26): Richards Bay0
AmaZulu1
⚽ PS (14.02.26): Chippa Utd.3
Richards Bay0
⚽ NC (08.02.26): Siwelele3
Richards Bay4
Match Analysis
Writeup
Orlando Pirates are the heavy favorites as they host Richards Bay at the Orlando Stadium. The “Buccaneers” are coming off a confidence-boosting 3-0 win over Kaizer Chiefs in the Soweto Derby. They are dominant at home and possess one of the league’s best defensive records. Richards Bay, known as the “Natal Rich Boyz,” are notoriously difficult to predict; they recently beat Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 but often struggle against the top-three sides. This game is likely to be a cagey affair, as Richards Bay will likely sit deep and defend for 90 minutes.
Prediction: Orlando Pirates Win & Under 2.5 Goals
-
Must Win: Pirates are chasing CAF Champions League spots and cannot drop points at home to lower-table teams.
-
Form Watcher: Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 league games.
-
H2H: Pirates have won all 5 of their last meetings against Richards Bay, with four of those ending 1-0.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay?
Our selection is 1 — Orlando Pirates to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Orlando Pirates's current form?
Orlando Pirates have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Richards Bay been performing recently?
Richards Bay have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Orlando Pirates lead with 4 wins versus Richards Bay's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.