WON

Result: Al Hussein 5-1 Al Buqaa

Al Hussein

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L

5-1

Jordan Premier League

Al Buqaa

Away Side

W L L D D

1W 2D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al Hussein to win — Wednesday, 11th March 2026

Best Odds 1.20

Confidence 77%

Implied Prob 83.3%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Hussein to win

1.20

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes80%

Implied Prob

83.3%

Based on 1.20 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-6.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al Hussein

Draws

Al Buqaa

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Al Hussein won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al Hussein

Metric

Al Buqaa

3.2

Goals For / Game

1.8

Goals Against / Game

2.4

40%

Clean Sheet %

5-0-0

W — D — L

1-2-2

Win Rate Comparison

100%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 1.5%

0-1 2.1%

0-2 1.5%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 4.2%

1-1 5.9%

1-2 4.1%

1-3 1.9%

1-4 0.7%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 5.9%

2-1 8.2%

2-2 5.8%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 5.5%

3-1 7.7%

3-2 5.4%

3-3 2.5%

3-4 0.9%

3-5 0.3%

4-0 3.8%

4-1 5.4%

4-2 3.8%

4-3 1.8%

4-4 0.6%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 2.2%

5-1 3.0%

5-2 2.1%

5-3 1.0%

5-4 0.3%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.2%) 3-1 (7.7%) 2-0 (5.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al Hussein

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

Al Buqaa

Overall

3.2 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

2.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 57%

Home Win & BTTS No 14%

Draw & BTTS Yes 11%

Draw & BTTS No 3%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 3%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 50%

Home Win & Under 2.5 21%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 5%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ PL (26.02.26): Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa2

⚽ SC (11.10.25): Al Hussein0

Al Buqaa0

⚽ PL (25.09.25): Al Buqaa0

Al Hussein5

⚽ PL (20.10.21): Al Buqaa1

Al Hussein2

⚽ PL (15.07.21): Al Hussein3

Al Buqaa2

Recent Form

Al Hussein

⚽ PL (26.02.26): Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa2

⚽ PL (21.02.26): Al Hussein2

Al Wehdat0

⚽ CL2 (17.02.26): Al Hussein3

Esteghlal F.C.2

⚽ CL2 (10.02.26): Esteghlal F.C.0

Al Hussein1

⚽ PL (06.02.26): Al Hussein5

Shabab Al Ordon1

Al Buqaa

⚽ PL (03.03.26): Al Buqaa3

Al Wehdat1

⚽ PL (26.02.26): Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa2

⚽ PL (20.02.26): Al Buqaa1

Al-Faisaly Amman3

⚽ PL (14.02.26): Shabab Al Ordon1

Al Buqaa1

⚽ PL (08.02.26): Al Buqaa2

Al Ramtha2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Al Hussein host Al Buqaa in Jordan Premier League. We recommend Al Hussein to win as the standout selection.

Al Hussein arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Al Buqaa are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Hussein, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hussein to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Al Hussein Irbid is currently the juggernaut of the Jordanian Pro League. They enter this rescheduled fixture in blistering form, having collected 13 points from their last five matches. Defensively, they are nearly impenetrable, keeping clean sheets in 80% of their recent outings. For Al Buqaa, the task is mountainous. While they have shown some spark on the road by scoring in six consecutive away games, their defensive record is a major concern—they concede exactly double what Al Hussein does on average (1.60 vs 0.80 per game). Al Hussein’s ability to dominate the second half of games (scoring 74% of their goals after the break) often wears opponents down.

Prediction: Al Hussein Win

Must Win: Al Hussein needs the points to solidify their title charge and maintain their unbeaten home streak of 8 games.
Form Watcher: Al Hussein has won 4 of their last 5, while Al Buqaa has only one win in the same period.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Hussein vs Al Buqaa?

Our selection is 1 — Al Hussein to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 77%.

What is Al Hussein's current form?

Al Hussein have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Al Buqaa been performing recently?

Al Buqaa have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Hussein lead with 4 wins versus Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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