Result: 1 — Abha to win

Abha

Home Side

D D W W W

3W 2D 0L

—

Saudi Division 1

Al Jubail

Away Side

W L W L L

2W 0D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Abha to win — Sunday, 8th March 2026

Best Odds 1.19

Confidence 67%

Implied Prob 84%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Abha to win

1.19

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

84%

Based on 1.19 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-17%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Abha

Draws

Al Jubail

Meetings

BTTS Rate

67%

Over 2.5

2.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Abha won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Abha

Metric

Al Jubail

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.8

20%

Clean Sheet %

20%

3-2-0

W — D — L

2-0-3

Win Rate Comparison

60%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 6.1%

0-2 2.7%

0-3 0.8%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 12.1%

1-1 10.9%

1-2 4.9%

1-3 1.5%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.9%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 4.4%

2-3 1.3%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.5%

3-1 5.9%

3-2 2.7%

3-3 0.8%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.9%

4-1 2.7%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.1%

5-1 1.0%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.1%) 2-0 (10.9%) 2-1 (9.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Abha Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Al Jubail Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Abha

Overall

7.2 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

Al Jubail

Overall

4.0 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

4.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Home Win & BTTS No 20%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Away Win & BTTS No 13%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 25%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 17%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ DIV (Nov 22, 2025): Al Jubail0

Abha3

⚽ DIV (Mar 16, 2025): Abha4

Al Jubail0

⚽ DIV (Nov 5, 2024): Al Jubail0

Abha1

Recent Form

Abha

⚽ DIV (Mar 1, 2026): Al Jandal1

Abha1

⚽ DIV (Feb 24, 2026): Abha1

Al Anwar1

⚽ DIV (Feb 20, 2026): Al Arabi1

Abha3

⚽ DIV (Feb 15, 2026): Abha2

Al Wehda1

⚽ DIV (Feb 9, 2026): Abha2

Al Zulfi0

Al Jubail

⚽ DIV (Mar 1, 2026): Al Jubail2

Al Bukiryah1

⚽ DIV (Feb 24, 2026): Al Raed1

Al Jubail0

⚽ DIV (Feb 19, 2026): Al Jubail1

Al Batin0

⚽ DIV (Feb 14, 2026): Al Taee4

Al Jubail0

⚽ DIV (Feb 9, 2026): Al Jubail2

Al Orubah3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Abha host Al Jubail in Saudi Division 1. We recommend Abha to win as the standout selection.

Abha arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Al Jubail are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 0D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Abha, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Al Jubail's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: abha to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Abha is the undisputed king of the Saudi second tier right now, sitting 1st and currently on a 22-game unbeaten streak. Their home form is imperious (9 wins, 3 draws). They score 2.15 goals per home game and are the heavy favorites to secure promotion.

Al Jubail is rock bottom (18th) and has not won a single away game all season (11 losses in 12). They struggle to score and find it almost impossible to keep clean sheets. There is a massive gulf in class here; Abha won the reverse fixture 3-0 and should have no trouble dispatching the basement dwellers.

Form Watcher: Abha (D-D-W); Al Jubail (W-L-W).
Must Win: Abha (Promotion push).
Prediction: Abha Win

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Abha vs Al Jubail?

Our selection is 1 — Abha to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Abha's current form?

Abha have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Al Jubail been performing recently?

Al Jubail have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Abha lead with 3 wins versus Al Jubail's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related