WON
Result:
Botev Plovdiv 2 - 0 Septemvri Sofia
B
Botev Plovdiv
Home Side
D
W
L
L
D
0W 1D 1L
VS
2 - 0
S
Septemvri Sofia
Away Side
W
W
L
L
L
0W 0D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Botev Plovdiv to win — Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
Best Odds
1.44
Confidence
32%
Implied Prob
69.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Botev Plovdiv to win
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals67%
BTTS — No100%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Based on 1.44 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-37.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
1
Botev Plovdiv
4
Draws
0
Septemvri Sofia
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Against Pick
Botev Plovdiv won 1 of the last 5 meetings (4 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Botev Plovdiv
Metric
Septemvri Sofia
0
Goals For / Game
0
1.5
Goals Against / Game
3
50%
Clean Sheet %
0%
0-1-1
W — D — L
0-0-1
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
B0
0-0
10.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
3.0%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
B1
1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
4.5%
1-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
B2
2-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
B3
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
B4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
B5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (15.8%)
2-0 (11.9%)
2-1 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ S=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Botev Plovdiv Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Septemvri Sofia Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Home Win & BTTS No
0%
Draw & BTTS Yes
0%
Draw & BTTS No
100%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
0%
Home Win & Under 2.5
0%
Draw & Over 2.5
67%
Draw & Under 2.5
33%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
: SEP1
BOT3
: BOT3
SEP0
: SEP1
BOT0
: SEP2
BOT1
: BOT3
SEP1
Recent Form
Botev Plovdiv
: MON0
BOT0
: BOT2
LUD1
: LEV3
BOT0
: LOK1
BOT - CUP0
: BOT0
BER0
Septemvri Sofia
: SEP2
CSK0
: SEP1
MON0
: DOB3
SEP0
: SEP1
ORD - CF2
: SEP0
RAD - CF4
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our selection is 1 — Botev Plovdiv to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 32%.
What is Botev Plovdiv's current form?
Botev Plovdiv have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches.
How has Septemvri Sofia been performing recently?
Septemvri Sofia have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 1 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Botev Plovdiv lead with 1 wins versus Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 4 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.